Around this time of year, everyone’s minds turn to the mathematics of random distribution and Bayesian inference, although these terms are not normally used.

This is all due to those tins or tubs or boxes of assorted chocolates, along with the fact that people have preferences among the chocolates on offer, and the problem that these preferences often overlap.

Two questions inevitably emerge:

**1) Why don’t they sell tins of each type of chocolate, and **

**2) Since they don’t, are the chocolates at least fairly distributed between tins?**

[Read the full experiment post at its new location, Tower of the Octopus]

-metatim